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2011 Predictions


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ONLINE   Reuder7 #21

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Posted 10 January 2011 - 05:22 PM

Eleven, launch day - 2.9% share. The Simpsons should do okay along with Futurama, but The Office will let it down. Neighbours will die hard, 50,000!

OFFLINE   InTheWild #22

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Posted 10 January 2011 - 09:57 PM

Eleven, launch day - 2.9% share. The Simpsons should do okay along with Futurama, but The Office will let it down. Neighbours will die hard, 50,000!


ELEVEN should have a pretty high percentage over the next few weeks mainly because of lower viewers in general. Like most digital channels are seeing increasing shares in summer.

I would say a 3.5% share tomorrow night.

ONLINE   Reuder7 #23

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Posted 11 January 2011 - 08:53 PM

Eleven, launch day - 2.9% share. The Simpsons should do okay along with Futurama, but The Office will let it down. Neighbours will die hard, 50,000!


With all the news coverage, I'm going to revise my prediction down, 2.2% nightly share.

OFFLINE   Mr. J #24

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Posted 11 January 2011 - 09:01 PM

What for neighbors? I think 150k

OFFLINE   seanie #25

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Posted 11 January 2011 - 09:20 PM

What for neighbors? I think 150k


I'd agree with that. Ten are probably expecting atleast double that though.

ONLINE   Reuder7 #26

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Posted 11 January 2011 - 09:57 PM

What for neighbors? I think 150k


Neighbours, 50,000 to 85,000.

OFFLINE   turdall #27

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Posted 12 January 2011 - 04:55 AM

If neighbours doesnt get around 300k by July it should be axed. I'd say around 180k for the first episode.

ONLINE   Captain Cupcake #28

  • 261 posts since
  • August 2010

Posted 12 January 2011 - 06:49 AM

Eleven- 3.2%

Neighbours 80,000
The Simpsons 70,000
Futurama 65,000

News 24 to also get a record 4.7%

OFFLINE   turdall #29

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Posted 12 January 2011 - 07:15 AM

With such small figures predicted for neighbours, simpsons and futurma a doubt it will get over 1%. Shows on ONE get around the same figures as you've suggested.

OFFLINE   InTheWild #30

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  • March 2008

Posted 12 January 2011 - 08:44 AM

Night one of Eleven got a 3.6% share.

40 Total Ppl Network ELEVEN NEIGHBOURS 254,000 63,000 113,000 18,000 28,000 32,000

Not too bad I think.

GO! posted 7.9%. Audience obviously looking for something other than news.

My prediction is for this to be a pretty stable channel but maybe dip slightly before growing in the year.

OFFLINE   CJM #31

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  • April 2008

Posted 12 January 2011 - 09:20 AM

Night one of Eleven got a 3.6% share.

40 Total Ppl Network ELEVEN NEIGHBOURS 254,000 63,000 113,000 18,000 28,000 32,000

Not too bad I think.

GO! posted 7.9%. Audience obviously looking for something other than news.

My prediction is for this to be a pretty stable channel but maybe dip slightly before growing in the year.


I think it was a great result for Eleven. Go! had a Harry Potter movie, which they cannot schedule every week. It will be interesting to see in the weeks ahead when Go! resumes normal (although erratic) programming.

I think tonight's Animation Fixation should give Eleven a higher share than last night (maybe even above a 4%)and a win in the younger demos.

ONLINE   Reuder7 #32

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  • February 2005

Posted 12 January 2011 - 09:26 AM

I think tonight's Animation Fixation should give Eleven a higher share than last night (maybe even above a 4%)and a win in the younger demos.


The Simpsons and Futurama didn't do too well last night, I'm not sure how popular The Cleveland Show is, let alone the awful King of the Hill.

OFFLINE   CJM #33

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Posted 12 January 2011 - 09:31 AM

The Simpsons and Futurama didn't do too well last night, I'm not sure how popular The Cleveland Show is, let alone the awful King of the Hill.


Tonight Simpsons and Futurama both have all new episodes. This should make a huge difference. Also, there is no Harry Potter movie on Go! tonight (although that may change, because you never know with so many last minute changes on Go!).

OFFLINE   TheObserver #34

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Posted 12 January 2011 - 10:21 AM

Neighbours will die hard, 50,000!

You were only 200,000 out. :laugh:

OFFLINE   Mr. J #35

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Posted 12 January 2011 - 04:14 PM

I think tonight will be 11's biggest opportunity looks to me that Wed is their strongest lineup and go! And gem tend to have their lowest shares on we'd.

ONLINE   Reuder7 #36

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Posted 12 January 2011 - 04:18 PM

You were only 200,000 out. :laugh:


Here's hoping it dips alittle tonight.

OFFLINE   jimbo #37

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Posted 12 January 2011 - 04:19 PM

I think the most interesting thing from today will be to see how live tennis and live cricket will go on 7TWO and GEM.

OFFLINE   Ryan #38

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Posted 12 January 2011 - 06:03 PM

Go! had a Harry Potter movie, which they cannot schedule every week.


After a 7.9% weeknight share, they'll be adding the sequels into their schedule pretty quick smart.

Tonight Simpsons and Futurama both have all new episodes. This should make a huge difference.


I'm not so sure. 7mate had new episodes of Family Guy and American Dad from 8.30 on Wednesdays and their ratings didn't differ much from the repeat episodes.
Ryan

Site Administrator

ryan@mediaspy.org

ONLINE   cmo #39

  • 6,168 posts since
  • March 2007

Posted 17 January 2011 - 04:30 PM

Right time to start thinking about Oprah ratings:

Prediciton between 1.0 and 1.2 million.
I base this on the fact that the Oprah special on the sound of music did 1 million plus in prime time at the beginnig of summer.

Anyone else going to take a stab?

OFFLINE   InTheWild #40

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Posted 19 January 2011 - 08:46 AM

Oprah should be very big (at least for tonight) simply because of the curiosity factor in how we as a country will be portrayed.

Wed - 1.45
Thu - 1.28
Fri - 1.1 (this is on of the interview shows so probably will be lower).